Thursday, April 7, 2016

Dow Makes a Comeback - Hold Your Long Positions


Yesterday US Markets witnessed strong buying. That helped Dow Jones gather 113 points to close at 17716. This is good news for all those eyeing for 18000 in Dow.

Buying was mostly spurred by oil making a strong showing. And strength in oil got rubbed on to the stock market.

Push in oil prices were witnessed right after Fed announced that the rate hike will not be scheduled for April. Further there was surprise fall in oil inventories. Grapevine was also in the market that soon there will be agreement on production freeze between major oil producing countries.

Whatever be the reason or clutch of reasons, stellar performance of oil ensured that bulls thundered on in US stock markets.

Today if we have positive close in US markets it will be further confirmation that 18000 in Dow is going to be achieved. 

So keep holding on to your long positions and good luck!

Wednesday, April 6, 2016

Dow Futures In Green - Will US Markets Open Strongly?




Yesterday Dow closed with a heavy fall. It closed 134 points down to register 17603 in the Index. A very ominous closing to put it bluntly.

However Dow Jones closed above 17600 and not below this psychological support level. That is significant as of now. This was elaborated by me in my previous post which you can access here. Till this support level is not violated by Dow on closing basis, we should retain our long positions.

As of publishing this post, European markets are in green and Dow Futures is indicating a positive opening in Dow today. We hope that Dow takes support from present closing and moves higher. The manner in which Dow rebounds will dictate our exit level.

Today oil is also on a rebound amid hopes of a production freeze. Let us watch how long this sunshine in global markets lasts.

Tuesday, April 5, 2016

Global Markets Sell Off - Dow Jones Not Yet In Sell Territory


Dow Jones is down to 17600. Is it time to worry for long positions held?. I do not think so

In fact it is at 17600 that Dow Jones should take support. If it does take support here then we can see 18000 in Dow.

But in case Dow slips below 18600 on closing basis then we will have to review our position. To be precise,  in case Dow closes below 17600 then wait for Dow to reach 17700 again and exit your long positions.

However as long as Dow closes above 17600 we need to keep our long positions till 18000 in Dow.


Indian markets dived deep into negative territory today. Nifty closed at 7603, down 156 points. That has made Nifty vulnerable to further downside.

But if tomorrow Nifty closes in green then we will have a chance of good bounce back in coming days. Nifty has to give a strong closing tomorrow if it has to reach 8000 in this run up. Hope Nifty closes above 7700 tomorrow!

Monday, April 4, 2016

It is a Steep Climb to 18000 - But Dow is Doing Fine


US markets seem to be taking some time to reach 18000 in Dow. After all it is a steep climb that has to be negotiated. But have no qualms, Dow Jones is right on track to reach 18000.

Moment we find any signal of reversal, you will be intimated. Be sure of that. So for now keep holding your long positions till Dow Jones reaches 18000. 

Manner in which Dow reaches 18000 will decide the fate of Dow after 18000.


As for Indian markets, Nifty closed in the green today after trading in tight range. However Nifty is racing ahead to make a breakout from the present trading range.

Today Nifty closed at 7759. Tomorrow RBI review meet will give the decision on rate cut and also give out their guidance going forward.

In case RBI gives 50 bps rate cut, then Nifty will surge ahead to make a break out from its present trading range. 

However if RBI announces only 25 bps rate cut then we will witness a drop in the markets. With 25 bps rate cut we will witness Nifty move sideways in the range of 7700 - 7400 for some time to come.

Saturday, April 2, 2016

Racing Towards Target - Dow Jones Steams Ahead


Dow Jones picked up steam to race towards its goal of 18000. That is exactly what we had predicted in this post

In yesterday's trading session Dow Jones gained 107 points and closed at 17792. This momentum is sure to take Dow Jones to 18000.

Those who took cue from my earlier posts to buy in US Markets would be sitting pretty with hefty gains. I had given this buy call when Dow Jones was trading at 17400, six trading sessions back. Hope you see reason  to trade my recommendations.


 As for Indian markets, Nifty is taking a breather before resuming its upward journey.

Nifty seems to be in consolidation phase. The following scenarios can happen in Nifty, which closed at 7713 last Friday :-
  1. Nifty can come down to 7600 level and then take support.
  2. Nifty can go further down and take support at 7300 level.
  3. Nifty can go up from here and close near 7800.
Whatever be the case, Nifty is consolidating to make a dash to 8600 in couple of months.